Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 20, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 156
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 27 Today
B6 156 · PLS → JFK
departs 2:12 PM EDT · arrives 5:39 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 4:00 AM ET · 10h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Wed 10/28 22%
Thu 10/29 31%
Fri 10/30 45%
Sat 10/31 32%
Sun 11/1 42%
Mon 11/2 27%
Odds over time
Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
26%
chance · ±0 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
26%
Leave 15+ late
33%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.6d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Leave PLS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Arrive at JFK more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to JFK?
On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
1%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 1,100 ft forecast at PLS that day
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at JFK
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
PLS (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 800 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 0.13 in
JFK (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.