B6 933 · BOS → SFO

took off 5:30 PM ET · landed 8:39 PM PT (scheduled 5:15 PM ET → 9:02 PM PT)

Forecast issued Tue 11:00 PM ET · 6h after departure

Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts −8 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to SFO?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into SFO at that hour are often late

↑ This flight has been late 31% of the time recently

↑ 5pm departures from BOS are often late

↓ Gusts to 25 kt forecast at BOS that day

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

BOS (origin) Gusts25 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SFO (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling2,800 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

B6 933 · BOS → SFO

Odds over time

How late did it get to SFO?