Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 20, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

BRITISH AIRWAYS · FLIGHT BA 186 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Tuesday, October 27 Today

BA 186 · AUS → LHR

departs 10:34 PM CT · arrives 12:32 PM GMT

Forecast issued Tue 7:00 PM ET · 5h before departure

Arrive at LHR more than 15 minutes late?

7% chance · ±0 pts −4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to LHR?

On time or early
92%
15–30 min late
1%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 10pm departures from AUS are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at AUS

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

AUS (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling6,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

LHR (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

BA 186 · AUS → LHR

Odds over time

How late will it get to LHR?