DL 1555 · MSP → GRR

departs 3:09 PM CT · arrives 5:39 PM ET

Forecast issued Tue 5:00 AM ET · 11h before departure

Arrive at GRR more than 15 minutes late?

25% chance · ±0 pts +7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to GRR?

On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 3pm departures from MSP are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 1,100 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at MSP that day

↑ This flight has been late 19% of the time recently

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ MSP usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

MSP (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.33 in

GRR (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 1555 · MSP → GRR

Odds over time

How late will it get to GRR?