DL 2238 · MSP → LAS

departs 10:22 AM CT · arrives 11:47 AM PT

Forecast issued Tue 1:00 AM ET · 10h before departure

Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?

34% chance · ±0 pts +24 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LAS?

On time or early
65%
15–30 min late
28%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 800 ft, 0.4 in of rain forecast at MSP that day

↑ LAS is prone to delays

↑ 10am departures from MSP are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS

↓ MSP usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

MSP (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling900 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.38 in

LAS (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 2238 · MSP → LAS

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAS?