Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 20, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 299 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Tuesday, October 27 Today

DL 299 · FCO → MSP

departs 2:46 PM CET · arrives 7:22 PM CT

Forecast issued Tue 3:00 AM ET · 7h before departure

Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?

24% chance · ±0 pts +13 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MSP?

On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Cloud base down to 800 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at MSP that day

↑ Arrivals into MSP at that hour are often late

↓ MSP usually runs smoothly

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at FCO

Weather at each end

FCO (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MSP (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.10 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 299 · FCO → MSP

Odds over time

How late will it get to MSP?