DL 9963 · MSP → ABQ

departs 6:01 AM CT · arrives 7:48 AM MT

Your aircraft is N310DU (BCS3).

Forecast issued Tue 5:00 AM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at ABQ more than 15 minutes late?

5% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to ABQ?

On time or early
95%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,100 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at MSP that day

↑ This flight has been late 17% of the time recently

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 6am departures from MSP are usually not late

Weather at each end

MSP (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.33 in

ABQ (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 9963 · MSP → ABQ

Odds over time

How late will it get to ABQ?