EK 214 · MIA → DXB

took off 11:59 PM ET · expected to land 9:04 PM +04 (scheduled 12:07 AM ET → 10:04 PM +04)

Forecast issued Tue 7:00 AM ET · 7h after departure

Arrive at DXB more than 15 minutes late?

0% chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to DXB?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ MIA is prone to delays

↑ Gusts to 37 kt, 0.5 in of rain forecast at MIA that day

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Arrivals into DXB at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

MIA (origin) Gusts36 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.40 in

DXB (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

EK 214 · MIA → DXB

Odds over time

How late will it get to DXB?