Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 20, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 1175
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 27 Today
F9 1175 · DEN → SEA
departs 1:01 PM MT · arrives 2:59 PM PT
Forecast issued Tue 4:00 AM ET · 11h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Wed 10/28 27%
Thu 10/29 26%
Fri 10/30 35%
Sat 10/31 27%
Sun 11/1 34%
Mon 11/2 31%
Odds over time
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
53%
chance · ±0 pts
+27 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
53%
Leave 15+ late
50%
Arrive 1h+ late
28%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.6d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +27 pts in 24h
+27 pts
53%
Yes 53%
No 47%
Leave DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed +32 pts in 24h
+32 pts
50%
Yes 50%
No 50%
Arrive at SEA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +23 pts in 24h
+23 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to SEA?
On time or early
46%
15–30 min late
37%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
13%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
1pm departures from DEN are often late
↑
Cloud base down to 900 ft forecast at SEA that day
↑
SEA is prone to delays
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.8 mi forecast at DEN that day
Weather at each end
DEN (origin)
Gusts 17 kt
Ceiling 200 ft
Visibility 0.13 mi
Precip none
SEA (destination)
Gusts 20 kt
Ceiling 1,100 ft
Visibility 7 mi
Precip 0.07 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.