Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 1175
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 28 Tomorrow
F9 1175 · DEN → SEA
departs 1:01 PM MT · arrives 2:59 PM PT
Forecast issued Tue 8:00 AM ET · 31h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 35%
Wed 10/28
Thu 10/29 26%
Fri 10/30 35%
Sat 10/31 27%
Sun 11/1 34%
Mon 11/2 31%
Odds over time
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
26%
chance · ±5 pts
−4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
26%
Leave 15+ late
18%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.6d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Leave DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Arrive at SEA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SEA?
On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 1,300 ft forecast at SEA that day
↑
1pm departures from DEN are often late
↑
SEA is prone to delays
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Cloud base down to 100 ft forecast at DEN that day
Weather at each end
DEN (origin)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 100 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
SEA (destination)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 1,300 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.07 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.