F9 1760 · MCO → CLT

took off 6:49 AM ET · expected to land 7:57 AM ET (scheduled 6:33 AM ET → 8:29 AM ET)

Forecast issued Tue 6:00 AM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?

<1% chance · ±0 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to CLT?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ F9's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 29% of the time recently

↑ MCO is prone to delays

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Gusts to 33 kt forecast at MCO that day

Weather at each end

MCO (origin) Gusts33 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

CLT (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility9 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

F9 1760 · MCO → CLT

Odds over time

How late will it get to CLT?