Tracked live by the FAA. The scheduled times shown are from a typical Tuesday because the FAA's flight plan was first seen after takeoff.

FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 2251 LANDED 11:54 PM ET, ~32 MIN EARLY

Tuesday, October 27

F9 2251 · MCO → CLE

took off 10:01 PM ET · landed 11:54 PM ET (scheduled 9:48 PM ET → 12:31 AM ET)

Forecast issued Tue 11:00 PM ET · 1h after departure

Arrive at CLE more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±1 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to CLE?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 9pm departures from MCO are often late

↑ This flight has been late 37% of the time recently

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CLE

Weather at each end

MCO (origin) Gusts31 kt Ceiling3,100 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

CLE (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

F9 2251 · MCO → CLE

Odds over time

How late did it get to CLE?