Tracked live by the FAA. The scheduled times shown are from a typical Tuesday because the FAA's flight plan was first seen after takeoff.

FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 2271 LANDED 12:29 AM ET, ~14 MIN EARLY

Tuesday, October 27

F9 2271 · MIA → ATL

took off 10:57 PM ET · landed 12:29 AM ET (scheduled 10:37 PM ET → 12:47 AM ET)

Forecast issued Tue 11:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±2 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to ATL?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 31 kt, cloud base down to 800 ft, 0.4 in of rain forecast at MIA that day

↑ 10pm departures from MIA are often late

↑ This flight has been late 21% of the time recently

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL

Weather at each end

MIA (origin) Gusts31 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.43 in

ATL (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

F9 2271 · MIA → ATL

Odds over time

How late did it get to ATL?