Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 2272 IN THE AIR (OFF 1:27 AM ET, ETA 2:47 AM ET) · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, October 27 Today

F9 2272 · ATL → MIA

took off 1:27 AM ET · expected to land 2:47 AM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Tue 1:00 AM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?

17% chance · ±2 pts −24 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 37 kt, 0.5 in of rain forecast at MIA that day

↑ Arrivals into MIA at that hour are often late

↑ This flight has been late 32% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

ATL (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MIA (destination) Gusts37 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.48 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

F9 2272 · ATL → MIA

Odds over time