Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 20, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 3043
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 27 Today
F9 3043 · MCO → ORD
departs 5:32 AM ET · arrives 7:46 AM CT
Forecast issued Tue 1:00 AM ET · 4h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Wed 10/28 10%
Thu 10/29 16%
Fri 10/30 14%
Sat 10/31 16%
Sun 11/1 14%
Mon 11/2 13%
Odds over time
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
10%
chance · ±0 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
10%
Leave 15+ late
11%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.2d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Leave MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Arrive at ORD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ORD?
On time or early
89%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late
↑
This flight has been late 22% of the time recently
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
MCO (origin)
Gusts 34 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.07 in
ORD (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 11,333 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.