Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 3205 LANDED 2:24 AM MT, ~21 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, October 27 Today

F9 3205 · IAH → DEN

took off 1:26 AM CT · landed 2:24 AM MT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Tue 7:00 PM ET · 17h after departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

24% chance · ±0 pts +8 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ F9's recent on-time record

↑ DEN is busy at that time

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at IAH

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

IAH (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.32 in

DEN (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.13 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

F9 3205 · IAH → DEN

Odds over time