Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 3205
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 28 Tomorrow
F9 3205 · IAH → DEN
departs 10:36 PM CT · arrives 12:12 AM MT
Forecast issued Tue 8:00 PM ET · 28h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 24%
Wed 10/28
Thu 10/29 23%
Fri 10/30 29%
Sat 10/31 20%
Sun 11/1 26%
Mon 11/2 29%
Odds over time
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
17%
chance · ±1 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
17%
Leave 15+ late
24%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
7.0d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Leave IAH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Arrive at DEN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DEN?
On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
IAH is busy at that time
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Cloud base down to 400 ft forecast at IAH that day
Weather at each end
IAH (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip none
DEN (destination)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.