Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 20, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 3378
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 27
F9 3378 · MIA → SJU
departs 11:26 PM ET · arrives 2:17 AM AT
Forecast issued Tue 11:00 PM ET · 0h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Tue 10/27
Today 31%
Fri 10/30 25%
Sat 10/31 34%
Sun 11/1 32%
Mon 11/2 28%
Odds over time
Arrive at SJU more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±4 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
40%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
7.0d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SJU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave MIA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 38% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
40%
Yes 40%
No 60%
Arrive at SJU more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −13 pts in 24h
−13 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to SJU?
On time or early
65%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 31 kt, cloud base down to 800 ft, 0.4 in of rain forecast at MIA that day
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 28% of the time recently
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SJU
Weather at each end
MIA (origin)
Gusts 31 kt Ceiling 800 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.43 in
SJU (destination)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.02 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.