G4 653 · FAR → AZA

departs 3:43 PM CT · arrives 4:59 PM MT

Your aircraft is N245NV (A320), coming in as G4 693 from IWA: landed 3:06 PM CT.

Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 5h after departure

Arrive at AZA more than 15 minutes late?

13% chance · ±1 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to AZA?

On time or early
86%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AZA is prone to delays

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at AZA

↓ FAR usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

FAR (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.16 in

AZA (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 653 · FAR → AZA

Odds over time

How late will it get to AZA?