Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 20, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
IBERIA · FLIGHT IB 334
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 27 Today
IB 334 · MIA → MAD
departs 6:00 PM ET · arrives 7:34 AM CET
Forecast issued Tue 3:00 AM ET · 15h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Wed 10/28 21%
Thu 10/29 17%
Fri 10/30 25%
Sat 10/31 23%
Sun 11/1 23%
Mon 11/2 21%
Odds over time
Arrive at MAD more than 15 minutes late?
31%
chance · ±8 pts
+6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
31%
Leave 15+ late
38%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
25%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MAD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Leave MIA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Arrive at MAD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
How late will it get to MAD?
On time or early
52%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
25%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 37 kt, 0.5 in of rain forecast at MIA that day
↑
6pm departures from MIA are often late
↑
This route's recent record
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MAD
Weather at each end
MIA (origin)
Gusts 36 kt Ceiling 2,200 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.41 in
MAD (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.