Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 20, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
IBERIA · FLIGHT IB 380
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 27 Today
IB 380 · SJU → MAD
departs 8:48 PM AT · arrives 9:43 AM CET
Your aircraft is ECLUB (A333).
Forecast issued Tue 7:00 PM ET · 2h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Thu 10/29 15%
Fri 10/30 17%
Sat 10/31 18%
Sun 11/1 17%
Mon 11/2 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at MAD more than 15 minutes late?
40%
chance · ±0 pts
+23 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
40%
Leave 15+ late
41%
Arrive 1h+ late
25%
Cancelled
7%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MAD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +23 pts in 24h
+23 pts
40%
Yes 40%
No 60%
Leave SJU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +22 pts in 24h
+22 pts
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Arrive at MAD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +19 pts in 24h
+19 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
How late will it get to MAD?
On time or early
55%
15–30 min late
24%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
7%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This route's recent record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
SJU is prone to delays
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MAD
Weather at each end
SJU (origin)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
MAD (destination)
Gusts — Ceiling — Visibility — Precip —
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.