Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 20, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

DENVER AIR CONNECTION · FLIGHT KG 5111 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Tuesday, October 27 Today

KG 5111 · MSP → IWD

departs 10:41 AM CT · arrives 11:36 AM CDT

Forecast issued Tue 2:00 AM ET · 10h before departure

Arrive at IWD more than 15 minutes late?

14% chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to IWD?

On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,300 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at IWD that day

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Cloud base down to 800 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at MSP that day

↓ IWD usually runs smoothly

↓ MSP usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

MSP (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.26 in

IWD (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.27 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

KG 5111 · MSP → IWD

Odds over time

How late will it get to IWD?