Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 20, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
CAYMAN AIRWAYS · FLIGHT KX 908
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 27 Today
KX 908 · GCM → MIA
departs 12:23 PM EST · arrives 3:38 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 2:00 AM ET · 11h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Thu 10/29 28%
Odds over time
Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?
22%
chance · ±0 pts
−28 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
22%
Leave 15+ late
23%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
17%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.6d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed −28 pts in 24h
−28 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Leave GCM more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed −15 pts in 24h
−15 pts
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Arrive at MIA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
How late will it get to MIA?
On time or early
65%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
17%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 37 kt, 0.5 in of rain forecast at MIA that day
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at GCM
↑
Arrivals into MIA at that hour are often late
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
GCM (origin)
Gusts — Ceiling — Visibility — Precip none
MIA (destination)
Gusts 37 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.47 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.