Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 20, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
CAYMAN AIRWAYS · FLIGHT KX 909
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 27 Today
KX 909 · MIA → GCM
departs 10:06 AM ET · arrives 11:26 AM EST
Forecast issued Tue 2:00 AM ET · 8h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Thu 10/29 10%
Odds over time
Arrive at GCM more than 15 minutes late?
32%
chance · ±0 pts
+16 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
32%
Leave 15+ late
14%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
6%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.4d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at GCM more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +16 pts in 24h
+16 pts
32%
Yes 32%
No 68%
Leave MIA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Arrive at GCM more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
How late will it get to GCM?
On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
20%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
6%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 37 kt, 0.5 in of rain forecast at MIA that day
↑
10am departures from MIA are often late
↑
This route's recent record
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
MIA (origin)
Gusts 37 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.47 in
GCM (destination)
Gusts — Ceiling — Visibility — Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.