Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

LATAM PERU · FLIGHT LP 2990 LANDED 3:02 PM ET, ~286 MIN EARLY · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, October 27 Today

LP 2990 · LIM → MIA

took off · landed 3:02 PM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Tue 7:00 PM ET · 4h after departure

Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?

66% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 34 kt forecast at MIA that day

↑ Arrivals into MIA at that hour are often late

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LIM

Weather at each end

LIM (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MIA (destination) Gusts31 kt Ceiling2,000 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.64 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

LP 2990 · LIM → MIA

Odds over time