Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

LATAM PERU · FLIGHT LP 2991 IN THE AIR (OFF 6:01 PM ET, ETA 10:16 PM -05) · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, October 27 Today

LP 2991 · MIA → LIM

took off 6:01 PM ET · expected to land 10:16 PM -05 (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Tue 7:00 PM ET · 1h after departure

Arrive at LIM more than 15 minutes late?

46% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 31 kt, 0.4 in of rain forecast at MIA that day

↑ 5pm departures from MIA are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LIM

Weather at each end

MIA (origin) Gusts31 kt Ceiling2,000 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.64 in

LIM (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

LP 2991 · MIA → LIM

Odds over time