Schedule: FAA flight plans.

ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3710 DELAYED: NOW PLANNED TO TAKE OFF 2:11 PM ET (15 MIN LATER THAN FIRST FILED)

Tuesday, October 27 Today

MQ 3710 · MIA → MCI

departs 1:49 PM ET · arrives 4:08 PM CT

Forecast issued Tue 1:00 AM ET · 13h before departure

Arrive at MCI more than 15 minutes late?

34% chance · ±0 pts +7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MCI?

On time or early
63%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
4%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 37 kt, 0.5 in of rain forecast at MIA that day

↑ 1pm departures from MIA are often late

↑ Arrivals into MCI at that hour are often late

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MCI

Weather at each end

MIA (origin) Gusts37 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.48 in

MCI (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3710 · MIA → MCI

Odds over time

How late will it get to MCI?