Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3863 LANDED 12:44 PM ET, ~9 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, October 27 Today

MQ 3863 · HXD → CLT

took off 12:05 AM CST · landed 12:44 PM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Tue 8:00 AM ET · 20h after departure

Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?

18% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ This route's recent record

↑ HXD is busy at that time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

HXD (origin) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

CLT (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility9 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3863 · HXD → CLT

Odds over time