MQ 4013 · AVL → ORD

departs 9:23 AM ET · arrives 10:29 AM CT

Your aircraft is N748RR (E170), coming in as MQ 4012 from ORD: landed 9:14 PM ET.

Forecast issued Tue 7:00 AM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?

25% chance · ±0 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to ORD?

On time or early
86%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ ORD is busy at that time

↑ This flight has been late 24% of the time recently

↑ Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at AVL

Weather at each end

AVL (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

ORD (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 4013 · AVL → ORD

Odds over time

How late will it get to ORD?