MQ 4237 · MIA → EIS

departs 10:32 AM ET · arrives 1:37 PM AST

Forecast issued Tue 2:00 AM ET · 8h before departure

Arrive at EIS more than 15 minutes late?

39% chance · ±0 pts +17 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to EIS?

On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
26%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
7%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 37 kt, 0.5 in of rain forecast at MIA that day

↑ Cloud base down to 1,200 ft forecast at EIS that day

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ EIS usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

MIA (origin) Gusts37 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.47 in

EIS (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling1,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.21 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 4237 · MIA → EIS

Odds over time

How late will it get to EIS?