Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 9866 TAXIING (LEFT THE GATE 9:58 AM CT) · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, October 27 Today

MQ 9866 · DFW → CUU

left the gate 9:58 AM CT · taxiing (scheduled time unknown)

Your aircraft is N292NN (E170).

Forecast issued Tue 10:00 AM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at CUU more than 15 minutes late?

22% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ This route's recent record

↑ DFW is busy at that time

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DFW

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling8,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

CUU (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 9866 · DFW → CUU

Odds over time