Tracked live by the FAA. The scheduled times shown are from a typical Tuesday because the FAA's flight plan was first seen after takeoff.

BREEZE · FLIGHT MX 1644 IN THE AIR (OFF 7:26 PM MT, ETA 7:49 PM PT)

Tuesday, October 27 Today

MX 1644 · PVU → SNA

took off 7:26 PM MT · expected to land 7:49 PM PT (scheduled 7:28 PM MT → 8:21 PM PT)

Forecast issued Tue 8:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at SNA more than 15 minutes late?

0% chance · ±0 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to SNA?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ SNA is prone to delays

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Visibility down to 1.25 mi forecast at PVU that day

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

PVU (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility1.25 mi Precipnone

SNA (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling1,600 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MX 1644 · PVU → SNA

Odds over time

How late will it get to SNA?