Schedule: FAA flight plans.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5075 DELAYED: NOW PLANNED TO TAKE OFF 3:17 PM ET (15 MIN LATER THAN FIRST FILED)

Tuesday, October 27 Today

OH 5075 · BUF → DCA

departs 2:51 PM ET · arrives 4:31 PM ET

Forecast issued Tue 2:00 AM ET · 13h before departure

Arrive at DCA more than 15 minutes late?

48% chance · ±0 pts −4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DCA?

On time or early
87%
15–30 min late
1%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 35% of the time recently

↑ Arrivals into DCA at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DCA

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BUF

Weather at each end

BUF (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DCA (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5075 · BUF → DCA

Odds over time

How late will it get to DCA?