OH 5389 · CLT → SBN

departs 8:53 AM ET · arrives 10:52 AM ET

Forecast issued Tue 2:00 AM ET · 7h before departure

Arrive at SBN more than 15 minutes late?

25% chance · ±0 pts +14 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SBN?

On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 17% of the time recently

↑ OH's recent on-time record

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SBN

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility0.5 mi Precipnone

SBN (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5389 · CLT → SBN

Odds over time

How late will it get to SBN?