Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 20, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5471 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Tuesday, October 27 Yesterday

OH 5471 · CHA → DFW

departs 8:09 PM ET · arrives 9:31 PM CT

Forecast issued Tue 11:00 PM ET · 3h after departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

25% chance · ±0 pts +10 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to DFW?

On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
4%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ OH's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DFW

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

CHA (origin) Gusts5 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.13 mi Precip0.01 in

DFW (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling8,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5471 · CHA → DFW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DFW?