OH 5510 · DCA → ATL

took off 7:03 PM ET · landed 8:26 PM ET (scheduled 5:20 PM ET → 7:20 PM ET)

Forecast issued Tue 11:00 PM ET · 6h after departure

Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to ATL?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
✓
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 19% of the time recently

↑ 5pm departures from DCA are often late

↑ Arrivals into ATL at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DCA

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL

Weather at each end

DCA (origin) Gusts6 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility9 mi Precipnone

ATL (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5510 · DCA → ATL

Odds over time

How late did it get to ATL?