OO 4291 · MSP → BJI

took off 11:49 PM CT · landed 12:24 AM CT (scheduled 10:18 PM CT → 11:27 PM CT)

Forecast issued Tue 11:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at BJI more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to BJI?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
✓
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 10pm departures from MSP are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↓ MSP usually runs smoothly

↓ Arrivals into BJI at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

MSP (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.16 in

BJI (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility3 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 4291 · MSP → BJI

Odds over time

How late did it get to BJI?