Schedule: FAA flight plans.

SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5992 DELAYED: NOW PLANNED TO TAKE OFF 3:37 PM CT (27 MIN LATER THAN FIRST FILED)

Tuesday, October 27 Today

OO 5992 · ORD → DCA

departs 3:04 PM CT · arrives 6:14 PM ET

Forecast issued Tue 1:00 AM ET · 15h before departure

Arrive at DCA more than 15 minutes late?

42% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DCA?

On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 36% of the time recently

↑ 3pm departures from ORD are often late

↑ Arrivals into DCA at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DCA

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling11,333 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DCA (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5992 · ORD → DCA

Odds over time

How late will it get to DCA?