tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 20, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

PORTER · FLIGHT PD 2135 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Today

PD 2135 · YTZ → EWR

departs 5:04 PM EDT · arrives 7:07 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 7:00 PM ET · 2h after departure
Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?
26% chance · ±0 pts +4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 6.7d 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to EWR?

  1. On time or early
    72%
  2. 15–30 min late
    13%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    5%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    5%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    2%
  6. Cancelled
    3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.