Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

PIEDMONT · FLIGHT PT 9976 LANDED 10:35 PM ET, ~10 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, October 27 Yesterday

PT 9976 · CLT → SBY

took off 9:36 PM ET · landed 10:35 PM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Tue 11:00 PM ET · 1h after departure

Arrive at SBY more than 15 minutes late?

16% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ This route's recent record

↑ 9pm departures from CLT are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility7 mi Precipnone

SBY (destination) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

PT 9976 · CLT → SBY

Odds over time