Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 20, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AIR CANADA JAZZ · FLIGHT QK 778 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Tuesday, October 27 Today

QK 778 · DTW → YYZ

departs 7:21 PM ET · arrives 8:37 PM EDT

Forecast issued Tue 9:00 PM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at YYZ more than 15 minutes late?

13% chance · ±0 pts +5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to YYZ?

On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 7pm departures from DTW are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DTW

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DTW (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling6,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

YYZ (destination) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

QK 778 · DTW → YYZ

Odds over time

How late will it get to YYZ?