Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AIR CANADA JAZZ · FLIGHT QK 778 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Wednesday, October 28 Tomorrow

QK 778 · DTW → YYZ

departs 7:13 PM ET · arrives 8:33 PM EDT

Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 21h before departure

Arrive at YYZ more than 15 minutes late?

7% chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to YYZ?

On time or early
92%
15–30 min late
1%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 7pm departures from DTW are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DTW

↓ Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DTW (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling11,600 ft Visibility9 mi Precipnone

YYZ (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling8,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

QK 778 · DTW → YYZ

Odds over time

How late will it get to YYZ?