Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 20, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
HORIZON · FLIGHT QX 2014
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 27 Today
QX 2014 · YVR → SEA
departs 1:09 PM PDT · arrives 2:08 PM PT
Forecast issued Tue 6:00 AM ET · 10h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Wed 10/28 22%
Thu 10/29 19%
Fri 10/30 26%
Sat 10/31 24%
Odds over time
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
26%
chance · ±0 pts
+6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
26%
Leave 15+ late
25%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.7d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Leave YVR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Arrive at SEA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SEA?
On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This route's recent record
↑
Arrivals into SEA at that hour are often late
↑
Cloud base down to 900 ft forecast at SEA that day
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
YVR usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
YVR (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 1,300 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.05 in
SEA (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip 0.07 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.