Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
HORIZON · FLIGHT QX 2014
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 28 Tomorrow
QX 2014 · YVR → SEA
departs 1:11 PM PDT · arrives 2:13 PM PT
Forecast issued Tue 5:00 AM ET · 35h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 25%
Wed 10/28
Thu 10/29 19%
Fri 10/30 26%
Sat 10/31 24%
Odds over time
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
23%
chance · ±1 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
23%
Leave 15+ late
17%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Leave YVR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Arrive at SEA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SEA?
On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 1,300 ft forecast at SEA that day
↑
Arrivals into SEA at that hour are often late
↑
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
YVR usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
YVR (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 1,500 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 0.07 in
SEA (destination)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 1,300 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 0.07 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.