Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 20, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AIR CANADA ROUGE · FLIGHT RV 1715 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Tuesday, October 27 Today

RV 1715 · YYZ → BNA

departs 8:24 AM EDT · arrives 9:46 AM CT

Forecast issued Tue 7:00 PM ET · 11h after departure

Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?

13% chance · ±0 pts +5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to BNA?

On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ 8am departures from YYZ are often late

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at YYZ

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BNA

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

YYZ (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BNA (destination) Gusts6 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility8 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

RV 1715 · YYZ → BNA

Odds over time

How late will it get to BNA?