Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 20, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AIR CANADA ROUGE · FLIGHT RV 1746 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Tuesday, October 27 Today

RV 1746 · YVR → LAX

departs 12:59 PM PDT · arrives 4:17 PM PT

Forecast issued Tue 7:00 PM ET · 3h after departure

Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?

22% chance · ±0 pts +6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to LAX?

On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at YVR

↑ Arrivals into LAX at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

YVR (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceiling1,500 ft Visibility9 mi Precip0.02 in

LAX (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling1,500 ft Visibility9 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

RV 1746 · YVR → LAX

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAX?