Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AIR CANADA ROUGE · FLIGHT RV 1746 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 30

RV 1746 · YVR → LAX

departs 12:59 PM PDT · arrives 4:18 PM PT

Forecast issued Tue 8:00 PM ET · 68h before departure

Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?

16% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LAX?

On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ LAX is prone to delays

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Arrivals into LAX at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at YVR

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX

Weather at each end

YVR (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling4,600 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

LAX (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling3,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

RV 1746 · YVR → LAX

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAX?