SY 1633 · MSP → PDX

departs 9:46 AM CT · arrives 11:20 AM PT

Forecast issued Tue 6:00 AM ET · 5h before departure

Arrive at PDX more than 15 minutes late?

9% chance · ±0 pts −5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to PDX?

On time or early
90%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Cloud base down to 1,100 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at MSP that day

↑ Cloud base down to 1,400 ft forecast at PDX that day

↓ MSP usually runs smoothly

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

MSP (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.18 in

PDX (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceiling1,400 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.10 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

SY 1633 · MSP → PDX

Odds over time

How late will it get to PDX?