Tracked live by the FAA. The scheduled times shown are from a typical Tuesday because the FAA's flight plan was first seen after takeoff.

SUN COUNTRY · FLIGHT SY 3009 LANDED 3:31 PM PT, ~57 MIN LATE

Tuesday, October 27 Today

SY 3009 · FAI → PDX

took off 11:11 AM AKT · landed 3:31 PM PT (scheduled 9:33 AM AKT → 2:38 PM PT)

Forecast issued Tue 7:00 PM ET · 6h after departure

Arrive at PDX more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts +11 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to PDX?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
✓
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft forecast at FAI that day

↑ Cloud base down to 1,400 ft forecast at PDX that day

↑ This route's recent record

↓ 9am departures from FAI are usually not late

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

FAI (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.13 mi Precip0.04 in

PDX (destination) Gusts25 kt Ceiling1,400 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.28 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

SY 3009 · FAI → PDX

Odds over time

How late did it get to PDX?