Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

SUN COUNTRY · FLIGHT SY 3009 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 30

SY 3009 · FAI → PDX

departs 10:29 AM AKT · arrives 3:15 PM PT

Forecast issued Tue 8:00 PM ET · 66h before departure

Arrive at PDX more than 15 minutes late?

13% chance · ±3 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to PDX?

On time or early
86%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ This route's recent record

↓ 10am departures from FAI are usually not late

↓ PDX usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

FAI (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

PDX (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling3,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.04 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

SY 3009 · FAI → PDX

Odds over time

How late will it get to PDX?